Never in any doubt?
You have to say well done to England. A week ago many of us (me included) were resigned to another world cup humiliation, but they've responded to the pressure in the best possible way and produced their two best performances of the tournament against two other top 4 sides. Batting first and having Roy back has certainly helped, but given the haplessness of New Zealand's opening pair, would the result have been different if the Kiwis had batted first? England certainly look a different side when they have a solid opening platform, and Plunkett is not the flashiest player, but England do tend to win with him in the side.
It's not just England that have had problems chasing - I read that 12 of the last 14 games have been won by the side batting first. If this continues into the finals it will be a real shame - it's not right that the marquee tournament finals will be decided by the toss of a coin. I don't know if it's the standards the ICC have been preparing pitches to, the rain or the pressure of chasing in a big tournament, or a combination of the three, but surely it behoves the ICC and the groundsmen to provide wickets that provide a fair opportunity to both sides regardless of the toss (that doesn't necessarily mean roads, just ones that don't deteriorate too much).
Vaughan reckons that the side that wins two tosses in the finals will win the thing. I hope he's wrong. England still won 14 out of 17 chasing in the last two years prior to this tournament, they have the depth of batting and we've seen them chase over 300. They should be able to win chasing. But I guess we'll see.
Still, minimum performance expectation just about met, although if England go out in the semis, I think their campaign will still be judged a failure given three losses (two that they really should have won) in the group stage. But it will be a failure by the high standards they have set themselves over the last four years, rather than the abject failure of previous outings over the last 20 years. This is England's first semi since 1992, and our batsmen have scored more hundreds in this tournament alone than England teams combined in the last five tournaments put together.
So something to celebrate, at least.