Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

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Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby from_the_stands » Tue Sep 04, 2012 7:04 am

I remember being practically glued to my radio as a kid back in 1987 when Australia won a tense World Cup final over England, a tournament in which the rebuilding Aussies were rank outsiders. Allan Border was leading a very young side, that featured the likes of Steve Waugh, Simon O'Donnell and Craig McDermott, amongst others. I remember thinking how lucky we were that England captain Mike Gatting played such a stupid shot to get himself out when he looked set. Nowadays the reverse sweep is played regularly, for some inexplicable reason. KP seems to be quite good at it, and I guess now we can look forward to seeing him doing more of it in his beloved India, where that fateful 1987 World Cup took place.
Image


Fast forward to 2012, a year after India became the first nation to win the World Cup on home soil. Three years now separate the cricket world and it next date with that particular piece of silverware, a thousand sleeps if you like, to dream of doing what only five teams have managed to do. The hosts this time around will be Australia, who will be hosting only for the second time. The last time as hosts, back in 1992 as defending champions, things didn't go so well, with the mighty green and gold failing to make the semi-finals. Since then, a generation of all time greats maintained a mortgage on ODI's top prize by establishing a World Cup winning streak that started in 1999 and ended last year, ironically with a loss to Pakistan, the last team to beat them in 1999. In 2015, Australia will attempt to win the World Cup for an amazing fifth time, and become only the second host nation to win it on home soil.

Why I think Australia will win it is quite simple, they will have the best players in the world playing at home in a format that has always been their own. With the transition now almost complete, and a generation of greats consigned to the history books, the next generation have been filtering through, or currently sit on the periphery of national selection. As Michael Clarke establishes himself as one of the games premier leaders, his players too are slowly establishing reputations for themselves. Currently, many of those players have reputations for being injury prone, which would be a very serious problem if it wasn't for the rich depth of talent that Australia seems to have to call on when the need arises. Of course in an ideal world, there wouldn't be any injuries, and as such, Australia would find that they have a very impressive arsenal of world class ODI players.

Whilst it may seem a bit ambitious to be selecting the winning World Cup XI some three years before the tournament, I'm going to list below the XI most likely candidates I think could have a big impact on whether or not Australia does emulate India by winning at home. They'll be in alphabetical order, rather than in batting order. My 2015 Oz World Cup XI is listed in batting order at the bottom of this blog.

Michael Clarke the ODI player is enjoying somewhat of a resurgence of late. His elevation to the nations top job seems to suit a man who has had his fair share of detractors, including yours truly. Whilst he might not be the long term answer at number 3 (or at least I don't necessarily see him there long term), he does look solid in the middle order, as the last 12 months would suggest. Should Clarke enjoy the luxury of having a full strength side at his disposal, he could well emulate messers Border, Waugh and Ponting by lifting the next world Cup, and possibly the next one after that! Oz fans can only hope.
Image


One of the most exciting bowling prospects in the world right now is Pat Cummins. This kid is quick and carries himself with the poise of a veteran. providing his body doesn't fall apart on him, Cummins looks set to have a very distinguished career ahead of him. getting his first taste of the big time against South Africa, the young tear-away looked like he belonged in his role as a demolitions man specialising in wrecking havoc with anybody holding a cricket bat. With a bit more experience, this kid could develop into one of the most feared strike bowlers in the world.

At the risk of sounding as though I've agreed with something Shanky has said, I do believe that Phil Hughes has a future in ODI cricket. The much maligned left hander has done well for himself at domestic level in both Australia and England in this format, and I can't see why he wouldn't succeed should he be given a chance at international level I this format. Whilst his foray into Test cricket might not have proved to be the second coming, as was initially hoped, he is far from done in the international arena. His move to South Australia could well prove to be an inspired move. with the recently retired Ricky Ponting and the soon to be retired Mike Hussey, Hughes could well find himself back in the picture before too long, especially should his fine from at domestic level continue. I'd love to see him open with Dave Warner, and have Twatto come in at 3.

Nathan Lyon might seem like a strange player to talk about when it comes to ODI cricket, especially as he is still establishing himself in the Test XI. But that said, the former groundsman-come-frontline spinner has a lot to offer. For one, he can turn the ball, quite unlike other exponents of spin who have found themselves thrust into the Oz ODI in the hope of becoming the next Shane Warne. Lyon hasn't really had much of a go in this format, so therefore I might be barking up the wrong tree here (which wouldn't be for the first time) but he must surely be a better option than; Nathan Hauritz, Jason Krezja, and Xavier Doherty. With the quality of spinners around the world plateauing somewhat, in Australian conditions, he'll be as good as anybody the Indians or Pakistanis are likely to bring out. Of course I wouldn't be able to say that if this tournament was being played elsewhere.

The elder statesman of the Australian bowling attack is likely to be Clint McKay. What I like about the right armer, other than the fact that he's Victorian, is his consistency. This guy knows where to deliver the ball, and he can do it time and time again. Whilst injuries have kept his games tally to much lower than what it really should be, this guy has a solid head on his solders and looks capable of leading this young Australian attack. He provides a good example for the younger bowlers to follow. This is the guy to bowl in those clutch situations, not dissimilar to Watson.

The new kid on the block as far as the Oz ODI side is concerned is Glenn Maxwell. His heroics against Pakistan have put the world on notice in terms of his talent. Of course being owner of the fastest half century in Oz domestic cricket hasn't harmed his reputation either. More of a batting all-rounder rather than as a specialist proponent of just one discipline, Maxwell is shaping to be the long term replacement for David Hussey, who is unlikely to still be around come 2015. He has a reputation for being sharp in the field, which is vital for ODI cricket, and can pitch in with 5 overs or more when called upon to do so. Dare I say it, but Maxwell seems a far more appealing proposition than the seemingly over-rated Steven Smith, who continues to linger in the thoughts of the Aussie selectors.

Mitchell Starc has been a revelation on the short time he's been on the international circuit. Coming from that fast bowling factory in Sydney, Starc was initially brought in to cover an injury, and has quickly established himself as one of the best left armers in the world, muscling his way past Mitchell Johnson. Whilst it still is early days for Starc, the signs do look promising, particularly with the selectors having had him on their radar for a little while, now. his stint in English domestic cricket has only further enhanced his reputation. In three years time should he continue to develop the way he has been, Starc could well develop into a special player.

Matthew Wade is a lucky man, and he knows it. The childhood friend of Tim Paine had to move states in order to play first class cricket, then ended up leapfrogging the injured Paine in the national team to replace Brad Haddin. he seems tailor made for the short forms of the game, as his domestic record for the Bushrangers would suggest. with the ability to open, Wade gives Clarke options. He can clear boundaries on a good day, although has yet to be really tested in a pressure situation that the World Cup would surely through at him. Of course should Paine force his way back into the fold, he too can open, or bat down the order, and can similarly clear the ropes on a good day. As for who is the better gloveman, which is their primary reason for being in the side, that is a debate for another thread.

Dave Warner is another exponent of T20 cricket, exploding onto the scene before having even played first class cricket for New South Wales. When on song, the diminutive Dehli Daredevil is the most explosive opener this side of Chris Gayle! With a reputation for "training the house down," according to national coach Mikey Arthur, Warner will be looking to get the Aussies off to starts that the likes of Matthew Hayden and Adam Gilchrist did when the Aussies ruled the world. Getting Warner early will be a priority for all opponents. Failure to do so will cost them dearly.

For my money, Shane Watson is one of the best cricketers in the world, and is arguably Australia's most important ODI player. On his day, Watson can win a game on his own, with bat and/or ball. As an opener, he has provided lots of early runs, laying the foundations for big team totals. With the ball, Watson is one of the best closers in the game. Unfortunately injury has been a big issue for Watson down the years, which effectively saw him having to re-establish himself as a star in the IPL, where he one the MVP award inn the very first edition, helping the under-rated Rajisthan Royals pull off an amazing heist to win it all when they were expected to finish dead last. Similar heroics in 2015 could well see him help the Aussies to their goal.

Saving the best for last, or perhaps it was more of a case of not being able to make up my mind, but for the sake of this blog, I'm slotting in Cameron White as my last player. I could have gone with one of the Marsh's, or Usman, or even George Bailey. I guess it makes sense to put White in there, because out of those who are left, he does have the best record. Whilst he might have had an off-season last year, he is too good a player to completely write off, and the way he came back to form in the IPL just shows how good a player he still is. That he's a Victorian possibly also helped get him selected in this XI. Could I see him in the 2015 World Cup squad? Yes. Could I see him winning a game for Aussies in the World Cup? Yes. Could I see him with a World Cup winners medal? Yes. Will I be there with bells on? You bet your @r$e!

Dave Warner
Phil Hughes
Shane Watson
Michael Clarke (c)
Cameron White
Glenn Maxwell
Matthew Wade
Mitchell Starc
Clint McKay
Pat Cummins
Nathan Lyon

:Aus:
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Re: Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby shankycricket » Tue Sep 04, 2012 8:09 am

from_the_stands wrote:
Dave Warner
Phil Hughes
Shane Watson
Michael Clarke (c)
Cameron White
Glenn Maxwell
Matthew Wade
Mitchell Starc
Clint McKay
Pat Cummins
Nathan Lyon

:Aus:


:(

I do agree with that XI by the way.
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Re: Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby from_the_stands » Tue Sep 04, 2012 8:14 am

shankybiggestengfan wrote:
from_the_stands wrote:
Dave Warner
Phil Hughes
Shane Watson
Michael Clarke (c)
Cameron White
Glenn Maxwell
Matthew Wade
Mitchell Starc
Clint McKay
Pat Cummins
Nathan Lyon

:Aus:


:(

I do agree with that XI by the way.


Thanks Shanks. I couldn't agree with me more!

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Re: Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby shankycricket » Tue Sep 04, 2012 8:23 am

Why was my post edited? :hmmm
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Re: Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby from_the_stands » Tue Sep 04, 2012 8:27 am

shankybiggestengfan wrote:Why was my post edited? :hmmm


Not by me. Do you not agree with my XI? :dunno
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Re: Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby shankycricket » Tue Sep 04, 2012 8:36 am

I do but I had quoted the whole post.

from_the_stands wrote:I remember being practically glued to my radio as a kid back in 1987 when Australia won a tense World Cup final over England, a tournament in which the rebuilding Aussies were rank outsiders. Allan Border was leading a very young side, that featured the likes of Steve Waugh, Simon O'Donnell and Craig McDermott, amongst others. I remember thinking how lucky we were that England captain Mike Gatting played such a stupid shot to get himself out when he looked set. Nowadays the reverse sweep is played regularly, for some inexplicable reason. KP seems to be quite good at it, and I guess now we can look forward to seeing him doing more of it in his beloved India, where that fateful 1987 World Cup took place.
Image


Fast forward to 2012, a year after India became the first nation to win the World Cup on home soil. Three years now separate the cricket world and it next date with that particular piece of silverware, a thousand sleeps if you like, to dream of doing what only five teams have managed to do. The hosts this time around will be Australia, who will be hosting only for the second time. The last time as hosts, back in 1992 as defending champions, things didn't go so well, with the mighty green and gold failing to make the semi-finals. Since then, a generation of all time greats maintained a mortgage on ODI's top prize by establishing a World Cup winning streak that started in 1999 and ended last year, ironically with a loss to Pakistan, the last team to beat them in 1999. In 2015, Australia will attempt to win the World Cup for an amazing fifth time, and become only the second host nation to win it on home soil.

Why I think Australia will win it is quite simple, they will have the best players in the world playing at home in a format that has always been their own. With the transition now almost complete, and a generation of greats consigned to the history books, the next generation have been filtering through, or currently sit on the periphery of national selection. As Michael Clarke establishes himself as one of the games premier leaders, his players too are slowly establishing reputations for themselves. Currently, many of those players have reputations for being injury prone, which would be a very serious problem if it wasn't for the rich depth of talent that Australia seems to have to call on when the need arises. Of course in an ideal world, there wouldn't be any injuries, and as such, Australia would find that they have a very impressive arsenal of world class ODI players.

Whilst it may seem a bit ambitious to be selecting the winning World Cup XI some three years before the tournament, I'm going to list below the XI most likely candidates I think could have a big impact on whether or not Australia does emulate India by winning at home. They'll be in alphabetical order, rather than in batting order. My 2015 Oz World Cup XI is listed in batting order at the bottom of this blog.

Michael Clarke the ODI player is enjoying somewhat of a resurgence of late. His elevation to the nations top job seems to suit a man who has had his fair share of detractors, including yours truly. Whilst he might not be the long term answer at number 3 (or at least I don't necessarily see him there long term), he does look solid in the middle order, as the last 12 months would suggest. Should Clarke enjoy the luxury of having a full strength side at his disposal, he could well emulate messers Border, Waugh and Ponting by lifting the next world Cup, and possibly the next one after that! Oz fans can only hope.
Image


One of the most exciting bowling prospects in the world right now is Pat Cummins. This kid is quick and carries himself with the poise of a veteran. providing his body doesn't fall apart on him, Cummins looks set to have a very distinguished career ahead of him. getting his first taste of the big time against South Africa, the young tear-away looked like he belonged in his role as a demolitions man specialising in wrecking havoc with anybody holding a cricket bat. With a bit more experience, this kid could develop into one of the most feared strike bowlers in the world.

At the risk of sounding as though I've agreed with something Shanky has said, I do believe that Phil Hughes has a future in ODI cricket. The much maligned left hander has done well for himself at domestic level in both Australia and England in this format, and I can't see why he wouldn't succeed should he be given a chance at international level I this format. Whilst his foray into Test cricket might not have proved to be the second coming, as was initially hoped, he is far from done in the international arena. His move to South Australia could well prove to be an inspired move. with the recently retired Ricky Ponting and the soon to be retired Mike Hussey, Hughes could well find himself back in the picture before too long, especially should his fine from at domestic level continue. I'd love to see him open with Dave Warner, and have Twatto come in at 3.

Nathan Lyon might seem like a strange player to talk about when it comes to ODI cricket, especially as he is still establishing himself in the Test XI. But that said, the former groundsman-come-frontline spinner has a lot to offer. For one, he can turn the ball, quite unlike other exponents of spin who have found themselves thrust into the Oz ODI in the hope of becoming the next Shane Warne. Lyon hasn't really had much of a go in this format, so therefore I might be barking up the wrong tree here (which wouldn't be for the first time) but he must surely be a better option than; Nathan Hauritz, Jason Krezja, and Xavier Doherty. With the quality of spinners around the world plateauing somewhat, in Australian conditions, he'll be as good as anybody the Indians or Pakistanis are likely to bring out. Of course I wouldn't be able to say that if this tournament was being played elsewhere.

The elder statesman of the Australian bowling attack is likely to be Clint McKay. What I like about the right armer, other than the fact that he's Victorian, is his consistency. This guy knows where to deliver the ball, and he can do it time and time again. Whilst injuries have kept his games tally to much lower than what it really should be, this guy has a solid head on his solders and looks capable of leading this young Australian attack. He provides a good example for the younger bowlers to follow. This is the guy to bowl in those clutch situations, not dissimilar to Watson.

The new kid on the block as far as the Oz ODI side is concerned is Glenn Maxwell. His heroics against Pakistan have put the world on notice in terms of his talent. Of course being owner of the fastest half century in Oz domestic cricket hasn't harmed his reputation either. More of a batting all-rounder rather than as a specialist proponent of just one discipline, Maxwell is shaping to be the long term replacement for David Hussey, who is unlikely to still be around come 2015. He has a reputation for being sharp in the field, which is vital for ODI cricket, and can pitch in with 5 overs or more when called upon to do so. Dare I say it, but Maxwell seems a far more appealing proposition than the seemingly over-rated Steven Smith, who continues to linger in the thoughts of the Aussie selectors.

Mitchell Starc has been a revelation on the short time he's been on the international circuit. Coming from that fast bowling factory in Sydney, Starc was initially brought in to cover an injury, and has quickly established himself as one of the best left armers in the world, muscling his way past Mitchell Johnson. whilst it still is early days for Starc, the signs do look promising, particularly with the selectors having had him on their radar for a little while, now. his stint in English domestic cricket has only further enhanced his reputation. In three years time should he continue to develop the way he has been, Starc could well develop into a special player.

Matthew Wade is a lucky man, and he knows it. The childhood friend of Tim Paine had to move states in order to play first class cricket, then ended up leapfrogging the injured Paine in the national team to replace Brad Haddin. he seems tailor made for the short forms of the game, as his domestic record for the Bushrangers would suggest. with the ability to open, Wade gives Clarke options. He can clear boundaries on a good day, although has yet to be really tested in a pressure situation that the World Cup would surely through at him. Of course should Paine force his way back into the fold, he too can open, or bat down the order, and can similarly clear the ropes on a good day. As for who is the better gloveman, which is their primary reason for being in the side, that is a debate for another thread.

Dave Warner is another exponent of T20 cricket, exploding onto the scene before having even played first class cricket for New South Wales. When on song, the diminutive Dehli Daredevil is the most explosive opener this side of Chris Gayle! With a reputation for "training the house down," according to national coach Mikey Arthur, Warner will be looking to get the Aussies off to starts that the likes of Matthew Hayden and Adam Gilchrist did when the Aussies ruled the world. Getting Warner early will be a priority for all opponents. Failure to do so will cost them dearly.

For my money, Shane Watson is one of the best cricketers in the world, and is arguably Australia's most important ODI player. On his day, Watson can win a game on his own, with bat and/or ball. As an opener, he has provided lots of early runs, laying the foundations for big team totals. With the ball, Watson is one of the best closers in the game. Unfortunately injury has been a big issue for Watson down the years, which effectively saw him having to re-establish himself as a star in the IPL, where he one the MVP award inn the very first edition, helping the under-rated Rajisthan Royals pull off an amazing heist to win it all when they were expected to finish dead last. Similar heroics in 2015 could well see him help the Aussies to their goal.

Saving the best for last, or perhaps it was more of a case of not being able to make up my mind, but for the sake of this blog, I'm slotting in Cameron White as my last player. I could have gone with one of the Marsh's, or Usman, or even George Bailey. I guess it makes sense to put White in there, because out of those who are left, he does have the best record. Whilst he might have had an off-season last year, he is too good a player to completely write off, and the way he came back to form in the IPL just shows how good a player he still is. That he's a Victorian possibly also helped get him selected in this XI. Could I see him in the 2015 World Cup squad? Yes. Could I see him winning a game for Aussies in the World Cup? Yes. Could I see him with a World Cup winners medal? Yes. Will I be there with bells on? You bet your @r$e!

Dave Warner
Phil Hughes
Shane Watson
Michael Clarke (c)
Cameron White
Glenn Maxwell
Matthew Wade
Mitchell Starc
Clint McKay
Pat Cummins
Nathan Lyon

:Aus:


:(
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Re: Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby ddb » Tue Sep 04, 2012 8:39 am

Yeah because people don't need to scroll the post again when you highlighted one line.
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Re: Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby Dilbert » Tue Sep 04, 2012 8:42 am

Good post as usual FTS !
Another aspect that you need to look at is who would be your possible contenders for the top prize.

India - They rely a lot on their spinners, which blunts their edge in Aus. Although their batting will carry them further than one expects. Also the juniors have shown how to win in Aus by beating Aus. 8-)
England - They have the bowlers and possibly the batsmen too. But history doesnt support them.
SA - The perrinial chokers, they seemed to have turned a new leaf after Kirsten taking over. They are one team who have beaten the Aussies in their own backyard, along with Eng recently. Although test cricket is different, they have the experience and the arsenal.
Pak - Ajmal wont be so effective and their batting is too frail. But they are always capable to spring a surprise or two, and you wont want to face them in the knockout stages
SL - They did beat Aus in Aus in the recent triangular series, but will not be challengers as they dont have the consistency with Dilshan Sanga and Jaya nearing their retirement in 2015
WI, NZ - you never know who will be playing for them in 3 years, so no point commenting, although with Gayles return, WI seem to be playing their best cricket for a long time.

I feel SA, Eng, Ind (in that order) will challenge Aus for the silverware, and it wont be easy for them like it was from 1999 to 2007
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Re: Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby shankycricket » Tue Sep 04, 2012 8:47 am

NZ have got some really talented young quicks. If they can find some batsmen I won't write them off either. At the moment, if I have to pick a favourite, I'd say England. Not sure the young Indian batsmen will be able to carry them on Aussie pitches. The bowlers would need to buck up. There is talent though. SA need better reserves. England and Australia look the best bets at the moment.
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Re: Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby greyblazer » Tue Sep 04, 2012 6:37 pm

OZ tracks are good for batting in one-day cricket.Until I'm convinced that Bell, Cook and co. are capable enough to chase down targets in excess of say 270-280 I won't think of England. I have seen too many defeats away from home in one-day cricket to be optimistic.
Last edited by greyblazer on Tue Sep 04, 2012 6:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby greyblazer » Tue Sep 04, 2012 6:39 pm

One more point. I'm not convinced a pace heavy attack will do well in OZ. In OZ in 2010/11, England once made about 330 and Australia chased it down.
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Re: Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby SaintPowelly » Tue Sep 04, 2012 6:45 pm

I think Aussies will win the World Cup too, heres my reasoning :

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Re: Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby Making_Splinters » Tue Sep 04, 2012 6:53 pm

Quite fancy the South Africans.
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Re: Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby shankycricket » Tue Sep 04, 2012 7:31 pm

Making_Splinters wrote:Quite fancy the South Africans.

Strength in depth seems to be a problem IMO. Don't think Kallis will be around for that WC. A bit over reliant on Amla and AB, I'd say.
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Re: Why I think Australia will win the next World Cup

Postby shankycricket » Tue Sep 04, 2012 7:35 pm

greyblazer wrote:One more point. I'm not convinced a pace heavy attack will do well in OZ. In OZ in 2010/11, England once made about 330 and Australia chased it down.

Agreed. 2 spinners are needed in an ODI side more often than not.
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