by bigfluffylemon » Wed Jul 13, 2016 11:56 pm
I'm a lot more pessimistic than a lot of the other posters here about England's chances. I think that Pakistan winning the series, or at least a couple of games, is a strong possibility. A line-up featuring Amir, Riaz and Shah is fearsome, all the more so if the Lord's wicket is slow and there isn't much lateral movement for England's bowlers to exploit - pace and legspin take wickets on slow, low pitches. Add in to that England's flaky batting line-up, and I wouldn't be surprised if we see a lot of low England scores again in this series. The one saving grace is that the Pakistani batsmen won't be used to facing much swing, so if the wickets and conditions are conducive to it, it could be yet again a very bowler dominated series.
I don't like moving Root to 3. He's had so much success at 4 and 5, not so much higher up the order, so why put our best batsman somewhere he doesn't want to bat? Still, England have effectively had no number 3 for the last 12 months, so it doesn't make an awful lot of difference. But it would be nice one day to turn on the coverage and see the score go above 100 with 0-2 wickets down, instead of the 30-3 or 80-4 that have been regular features of England scorelines for the last two years since Ballance had a good summer. England have had a lot of wins, but they've been on the strength of skilful bowling exploiting favourable home conditions, and being bailed out by the lower-middle order.